Download or order the Climate change projections report

Version 2, amended July 2nd, 2009

The Projections report is available as a group of pdf files to download, or as a CD.

• To order the report on CD, email Publications with your address details and the number of CDs required. Please note that the CD contains all of the UKCP09 reports.

Please see below for pdfs to download:

• Full report (very large file, 22.8 MB)
• Summary (392 KB)
• Chapter 1 Introduction & overview (1.2 MB)
• Chapter 2 Why do we need probabilistic information? Uncertainties in climate change projections(1.2 MB)
• Chapter 3 Construction of probabilistic climate projections (1 MB)
• Chapter 4a Probabilistic projections of seasonal climate change 4.1 to 4.3.7 (4.3 MB)
• Chapter 4b 4.3.8 to 4.3.9 (7.4 MB)
• Chapter 4c 4.3.10 to 4.4 (1.7 MB)
• Chapter 4d 4.4.1 to 4.8(1.1 MB)
• Chapter 5 Projections from the ensemble of regional climate models (504 KB)
• Annex 1 Emissions scenarios used in UKCP09 (368 KB)
• Annex 2 Sensitivity of UKP09 projections to key assumptions (1.5 MB)
• Annex 3 Strengths and weaknesses of climate models (2.4 MB)
• Annex 4 Probabilistic projections data (332 KB)
• Annex 5 Changes to the Atlantic Ocean circulation (Gulf Stream) (408 KB)
• Annex 6 Future changes in storms and anticyclones affecting the UK (1.5 MB)
• Annex 7 Urban Heat Island effects (336 KB)