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Why is the greatest change of precipitation the 90% probability level in winter and the 10% probabilty level in summer?
The general trend that is being projected under climate change for the UK is:
- warmer wetter winters
- hotter drier summers
Therefore we can expect a negative change in precipitation in summer and a positive change in precipitation in winter.
In detail
The 90% probability level shows the greatest positive change
whereas the 10% probability level shows the greatest negative change if
the PDF
spans the 0 line. Therefore, we are interested in the increase of a
positive change in precipitation in winter (the 90% probability level)
and the decrease of precipitation (negative change) in summer(10%
probability level).
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You may also be
interested in…
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Winter precipitation
What
we are interested in here is if the trend in precipitation is to get
wetter, how much wetter is it going to get? 90% probability level.
Click on the image for a larger version.
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Summer precipitation
What
we are interested in here is if the trend in precipitation is to get drier, how much drier is it going to get? 10% probability level. Click
on the image for a larger version.
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Last Updated Tuesday, 11 January 2011 |
