Defra logo
  • Other defra.gov.uk sites
 
UK Climate Projections logo    

   

Will spatial analogues be provided?

It is not currently planned to produce spatial analogues (i.e. give an indication of where in the world the UK might be like in 30 years time) for UKCP09. Although these can be useful for communication purposes, it is usually impossible to find exact analogies that span more than one variable (e.g. finding somewhere that has the same temperature and precipitation characteristics). Other factors (such as daylight hours) are dependant on latitude rather than climate.

In detail

We recognise that spatial analogues has previously been used as a media technique to give some context to future climate. This is not necessarily scientifically robust, so none are provided in UKCP09. However, it is planned to include information on event analogues such as a 2003-type summer.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Last Updated Thursday, 23 June 2011