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UKCIP02
The UKCIP02 climate change scenarios were derived from a series of
climate modelling experiments commissioned and funded by Defra,
undertaken by the Hadley Centre and analysed by the Tyndall Centre in 2002.
In detail
The UKCIP02 scenarios are based on four different IPCC SRES emissions scenarios and three future time-slices.
Based on their experience of using UKCIP98, users asked for greater
regional and temporal detail, estimates of changes to extremes and
better guidance on how to handle uncertainties.
Unlike UKCP09, these projections were not probabilistic. They were
produced at a spatial resolution of 50 km rather than the 25 km
resolution of the UKCP09 projections.
A comparison between UKCIP02 and UKCP09 is provided in Section 4.3 and Section 5.6 of the UKCP09 Briefing report. Further comparisons are presented in Section 4.3.11 of the UKCP09 Climate change projections report.
Find out more
- Hulme, M., Jenkins, G. J., Lu, X., Turnpenny, J. R., Mitchell T. D., Jones, R. G., Lowe, J., Murphy, J. M., Hassell, D., Boorman, P., McDonald, R. and Hill, S. Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: The UKCIP02 Scientific Report. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK (2002) 120 pp.
- Gawith, M et al. (2009). Application of the UKCIP02 climate change scenarios: Reflections and lessons learnt. Global Environmental Change 19(1), 113-121. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.09.005
- Hulme, M and Dessai, S (2008). Negotiating future climates for public policy: a critical assessment of the development of climate scenarios for the UK. Environmental Science and Policy 11, 54–70. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2007.09.003
- Dessai, S and Hulme, M (2008). How do UK climate scenarios compare with recent observations?. Atmospheric Science Letters 9(4), 189-195. doi: 10.1002/asl.197
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