| Temporal resolution
| Time Period
| Spatial Resolution
| Emission scenario
| Modelling
| Spatial correlation between grid squares? (see this FAQ)
| Probabilistic?
|
| Climate change projections
|
| Monthly/ seasonal/ annual |
2010 to 2099 as overlapping 30-year time periods
|
25 km grid over land only plus administrative regions and river basins
|
Low, Medium and High
|
Met Office Hadley Centre + other IPCC models |
No
|
Yes
|
| Other information: Also available for absolute future climate for some variables |
Marine & coastal projections
|
| Monthly/ seasonal/ annual |
2010 to 2099 as overlapping 30-year time periods
|
Marine regions
|
Low, Medium and High
|
Met Office Hadley Centre + other IPCC models
|
No
|
Yes
|
| Sea level projections
|
Annual
|
1990 to 2100 as annual averages |
UK as a whole and at user-specified locations around the coast |
Low, Medium and High and H++ mean SLR scenario
|
Projections for UK waters from IPCC global climate models and H++ from literature on constraints
|
Yes
|
No, but there is an estimate of uncertainty based on frequency distributions
|
Other information: Absolute sea level for UK as a whole. Relative sea level for all 12 km native grid squares. H++ scenario described in report
|
| Storm surge height projections
|
| Trend in return periods |
1960 to 2100 long term trend |
12 km grid squares around UK coastline
|
Medium and H++ scenario
|
Met Office Hadley Centre regional climate model used to run POLCS3 storm surge model
|
Yes
|
No, but there is an estimate of uncertainty based on frequency distributions
|
| Multi-level ocean projections
|
| Monthly/ seasonal/ annual |
1961 to 1990 and 2070 to 2099 as 30-year time periods
|
12 km grid squares and
2 vertical levels (water surface and sea-bed) |
Medium only |
Met Office Hadley Centre model used to run POLCOMS |
Yes
|
No
|
| Other information: Comprehensive model output (34 levels) available from LINK website |
| Weather Generator
|
| Daily/ hourly |
2010 to 2099 as overlapping 30-year time periods
|
5 km grid over land only
|
Low, Medium and High
|
Statistical relationships modified by change factors from UKCP09 probabilistic projections (land)
|
No
|
Yes in that it is driven with change factors from the probabilistic projections
|
| Other information: Provides absolute (not relative) future climates |
| Observed trends
|
Daily/ monthly/ annual/
30-year average |
1961 to 2005 (from 1914 for some variables)
|
5 km grid
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
Yes
|
N/A
|
| Other information: Available through Met Office Hadley Centre website |
| 11-member RCM (including wind projections)
|
Daily
|
1960 to 2099 as continuous simulation
|
25 km grid
|
Medium only
|
Met Office Hadley Centre regional climate model only
|
Yes
|
No
|
| Other information: Available through the BADC LINK website |
Spatially Coherent Projections (SCPs)
|
Monthly, annual, seasonal
|
2010 to 2099 as overlapping 30-year time periods
|
25 km grid
|
Low, Medium and High
|
Met Office Hadley Centre & other IPCC models
|
Yes
|
No, but represents more of the UKCP09 uncertainty space than the 11-member RCM
|
| Other information: Available through the csv archive in the User Interface (registration required)
|
