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Online climate change projections report Annex 3.7

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Greeves, C. Z., Pope, V. D., Stratton, R. A. & Martin, G. M. (2007). Representation of northern hemisphere winter storm tracks in climate models. Climate Dynamics, 28, 683-702.

Hoerling, M. P., Hurrell, J. W. & Xu. T. (2001) tropical origins for recent North Atlantic climate change. Science, 292, 5514, 90–92.

Palmer, T. N., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Weisheimer, A. & Rodwell, M. J. (2008) Toward seamless prediction: calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 459–470.

Pelly, J. L. & Hoskins, B. J. (2003) A new perspective on blocking. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 60, 643–755.

Rodwell, M. J., Rowell, D. P. & Folland, C. (1999) Ocean forcing of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and European climate. Nature, 398, 320–323.

Rowell, D. P. & Jones, R. G. (2006) Causes and uncertainty of future summer drying over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 27, 281–299.

Scaife, A. A., Knight, J. R., Vallis, G. K. & Folland, C. K. (2005) A stratospheric influence on the winter NAO and North Atlantic surface climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L18715.

Scaife, A. A., Buontempo, C., Ringer, M., Sanderson, M., Gordon, C. K. & Mitchell, J. (2008) Comment on Toward seamless prediction: calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts.

Palmer, T. N., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Weisheimer, A. & Rodwell, M. J. (2008). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 459–470. Submitted manuscript available on request.

Solomon, S. et al. (2007) IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.

Stephenson, D. B., Pavan, V., Collins, M., Junge, M. M. & Quadrelli, R. (2006) North Atlantic Oscillation response to transient greenhouse gas forcing and the impact on European winter climate: A CMIP2 multi-model assessment. Climate Dynamics, 27 (4), 401–420.

Stott, P. A., Tett, S. F. B., Jones, G. S., Allen, M. R., Mitchell, J. F. B. & Jenkins, G. J. (2000) External control of twentieth century temperature by natural and anthropogenic causes. Science, 290, 2133–2137.

Sutton, R. & Hodson, D. (2007) Climate response to basin-scale warming and cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 20, 5, 891–907.

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