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Online climate change projections report 4.4.2 PDFs & temporal averaging

Figure 4.22 shows, as expected, that the uncertainty of a average change is greater than that of the seasonal average change, largely due to the natural variability being greater at the shorter temporal scale. It also shows that changes in the for a particular month can be quite different from that in the corresponding seasonal mean.

 
Figure 4.22: PDFs of change in precipitation for NW England by the 2080s under the High emissions scenario, showing means for winter (blue) and for the month of January (purple).
 
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